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Bankroll Management
As
Barry Greenstein
described in his book, Ace on the River, for a poker player, it just
isn't enough to know your cards and your opponents, you also have to
know how to take on money and even more important, how to let your
money work for you. The key to success is having a good plan and a
thought-out Bankroll Management.
First rule of Bankroll
Management is about holding onto your money - Maintaining
Your Capitol. You can't play poker if
you don't have any
money. For a poker player, having money is like a plumber having
tools. If a cook wants to go on vacation, he isn't going to sell his
pots and pans to go on vacation. I always hear from poker players,
"When I have won $1000, then I'll cash out $800 and I'll buy
this or that." Big mistake! What people should be saying is
"When I have won $1000, I will go up a limit."
Sustaining
and maintaining a bankroll is a very important and a topic that you
should not take lightly as a poker player. In the game, there are
many dangers from bad beat, tilts and just simply bad luck, which can
all make a pretty big dent on your capitol. Downswings can last only
a few hours, days but can also go on for weeks and even months. If
you don't have a strategy for capitol conservation, you'll probably
be bankrupt pretty fast. No one is safe from having a downswing, not
even the pros. AA and KK will be beaten by worse hands, the draws
don't materialize, the flush on the turn is beaten by the pair on the
board that gives your opponent the full house and it goes on and
on.
Capitol Maintainance is the first rule of Bankroll
Management and this is what is the most important factor as well to
use to determine in which Limit you should be playing. Should you go
up or even go down a limit? Don't decide this based on short term
wins or loses, but rather on the size of your bankroll, even if this
is hard to do.
By having a strict Bankroll Management you are
ensuring, that you will be able to win consistently at a Limit
before you leave it and therefore you are also playing in "safe
waters" even when you go up a limit. Going down a limit, does
not mean you will win every hand and it isn't dishonorable, it just
means that at the moment, you don't have enough money for a higher
limit. At the same time, you are showing that you are flexible enough
and clever enough, to recognize the best solution for the present
bankroll size and situation and adapt to it. Later almost every
player who has gone down a limit will tell you that it was the right
decision, even when it is a very hard decision to make.
Of
course, what also belongs to a successful Bankroll Management is
discipline. The temptation to go up a limit after a
couple of
good sessions is strong, especially after you have won so much on the
Y tables and at a higher limit (the X tables) you could be
winning twice as much. However, most find that it unfortunately isn't
that easy and that one session X cost as much as the whole winning
from the Y sessions plus a whole lot more. Then of course, you have
to try and get back what you've lost - again in the higher limit,
well because it will go much faster than at the lower Y sessions.
Then before you know it, you are on the fast track to being
broke.
Here we will be presenting values, that were taken as
being conservative in order to give a beginner a solid footing. We
have also decided to focus the values needed more for an online poker
game than for a live game, although these are similar.
Bankroll
Management for the Fixed Limit Player
In Fixed Limit you have
the 300-200 Big Bet Rule. This rule corresponds to the bet on the
turn and the river and is usually two big blinds (on some poker sites
and on many homepages one big bet = one big blind). In other words,
this rule tells us that you can go up a limit, when you have 300 big
bets for the that limit and you should go down a limit when you only
have 200 big bets for the lower level limit.
Bankroll
Management for the No Limit and Tournament Player
In No Limit
you have the 25-20 BuyIn Rule. This tells us what the maximum amount
is, that you can bring to a table. Typically this is 100 big blinds.
The rule says that you can go up a limit, when you have 25 BuyIns for
the higher limit and you should go down a limit, if you only have 20
BuyIns for the limit left.
Of course, having a rational Bankroll
Management System also means having a rational bookkeeping system.
You can do this is a notebook, by using an excel sheet or with a
program or website. Next to your account status, you should also be
keeping track of played limit, how long the session lasted, place,
winnings/loses and the strength of your opponents as well as any
notes you have made on his playing style.
Bankroll
Calculations
There is a formula, which you can use to
determine the size of your bankroll against the chances of going
broke known as the Risk Of Ruin.
The formula is:
Bankroll = -(SD^2/2*Hourly rate)Ln(ROR). SD stands
for
Standard Deviation, a program such as Pokertracker or Pokeroffice
will give you this value.
I will try and use an example
to clarify:
Let's say that you are playing Fixed Limit $10/$20,
which is probably the lowest limit you can play to be able to totally
finance the cost of living with poker. Your winnings are 1 big
bet/hour which equals about $20/hour and you have a SD of 200. Then
we'll assume that you have accepted having a 5% chance of going
bankrupt.
If you plug these values into the formula we get:
(-200^2/2^20)Ln(.05) or -40,000/40*Ln(0.5)= $2996.
What we
read from this, is that you need a $2996 bankroll in order to play
$10/$20 with a 5% chance or 1 in 20 of losing it all. 1 in 20 is
actually pretty risky, if you are trying to support yourself and your
family by playing poker.
How about we try with only a 1%
chance of being ruined? We then get -40,000/40*Ln(,01) = $4605. If
you are a "winning player" with a standard deviation of 10x
your winning rate and $4605 in your pocket, you can play $10/$20
Fixed Limit forever and will have a 99% security of not going broke.
If you are winning player, your bankroll will grow and by having
just a bit more, your chance of staying in the black will also
increase to 99.9%. This corresponds to having a bankroll of $6908.
I
would also like to point out, by increasing your bankroll by just
50%, increases your chance of not losing it all by 100%. By the way,
$6908 corresponds to 345 big bets.
If someone asks you about
the magical 300 Big Bet Rule, you can grab a pencil and paper and go
for it, probably no one will ask you anything ever again....

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